Jul 9, 2026

E299 - John Phillips from PredictIt

On this episode of the Business of Betting podcast, Jeff Edelstein is joined by John Aristotle Phillips, founder of PredictIt and CEO of Aristotle. 

Hear them discuss:

  • How PredictIt was founded and why prediction markets emerged as an alternative to traditional polling
  • Why prediction markets could fundamentally change the way people think about risk, probability, and decision-making
  • The future of sports prediction markets and why forecasting extends far beyond politics and sports
  • How media companies, businesses, and consumers may use prediction markets as everyday forecasting tools
  • The regulatory challenges facing prediction markets and why balanced oversight is essential for long-term growth
  • Whether political prediction markets should be viewed as protected political speech rather than gambling
  • The extraordinary story behind John's Princeton thesis demonstrating how an atomic bomb could be designed using publicly available information
  • How John's passion for nuclear nonproliferation led him into politics and the creation of Aristotle, a leading political technology company
  • The role AI could play in prediction markets and why human judgment will continue to matter
  • John's vision for a future where prediction markets help guide everything from financial decisions and healthcare to everyday life

 

 

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